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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Paris on August 24?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$7K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
14°C
$1K vol
35.0%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 65¢
🎯
13°C
$89 vol
21.0%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 79¢
🎯
15°C
$33 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🎯
16°C
$22 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
11°C or below
$15 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🎯
17°C
$11 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
18°C
$11 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
12°C
$6 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🌡️
19°C
$5 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🎯
21°C or higher
$16 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
20°C
$5 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.