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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in NYC on August 23?

Vol total$946
Vol 24h$986
Liquidity$2K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
72-73°F
$320 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🎯
76-77°F
$143 vol
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🎯
62-63°F
$93 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🎯
70-71°F
$92 vol
28.0%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🎯
74-75°F
$91 vol
10.0%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢
🎯
64-65°F
$78 vol
15.0%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🎯
68-69°F
$44 vol
39.0%
chance
Yes 39¢ · No 61¢
🎯
66-67°F
$25 vol
21.5%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 79¢
🎯
78°F or higher
$5 vol
22.0%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 78¢
🎯
59°F or below
$35 vol
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
60-61°F
$20 vol
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.