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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in NYC on August 20?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$15K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
68-69°F
$333 vol
19.5%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 81¢
🎯
74-75°F
$140 vol
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🎯
64-65°F
$135 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
72-73°F
$64 vol
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🎯
70-71°F
$54 vol
43.5%
chance
Yes 44¢ · No 56¢
🎯
66-67°F
$31 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🎯
80°F or higher
$530 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
76-77°F
$209 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
🎯
78-79°F
$126 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎯
62-63°F
$115 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
61°F or below
$100 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.