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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 27?

Vol total$242
Vol 24h$242
Liquidity$2K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

6°C or below
$162 vol
40.0%
chance
Yes 40¢ · No 60¢
7°C
$50 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
14°C
$5 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
16°C or higher
$5 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
8°C
$0 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
9°C
$0 vol
45.5%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 55¢
10°C
$0 vol
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
11°C
$0 vol
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
12°C
$0 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
13°C
$15 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
15°C
$5 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.