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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Miami on September 2?

Vol total$405
Vol 24h$405
Liquidity$3K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

❄️
73°F or below
$160 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🔥
92°F or higher
$88 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
86-87°F
$45 vol
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🌡️
88-89°F
$45 vol
10.0%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢
🌡️
84-85°F
$35 vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🌡️
80-81°F
$26 vol
34.5%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 66¢
🌡️
90-91°F
$5 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
☀️
74-75°F
$0 vol
20.0%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 80¢
🌤️
76-77°F
$0 vol
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🌡️
78-79°F
$0 vol
42.5%
chance
Yes 43¢ · No 57¢
🌡️
82-83°F
$0 vol
20.0%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 80¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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