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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Manila on August 24?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$6K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
23°C
$114 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🌡️
24°C
$0 vol
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🌡️
25°C
$0 vol
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🌡️
26°C
$0 vol
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🌡️
27°C
$0 vol
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🌡️
28°C
$0 vol
30.5%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 70¢
🌡️
29°C
$556 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌤️
30°C
$439 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
31°C or higher
$312 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
21°C or below
$278 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
22°C
$145 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.