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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in London on September 2?

Vol total$394
Vol 24h$394
Liquidity$7K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌤️
15°C
$173 vol
37.5%
chance
Yes 38¢ · No 63¢
🌡️
11°C
$89 vol
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🌤️
16°C
$82 vol
29.5%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 71¢
🌡️
12°C
$30 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🌤️
17°C
$11 vol
18.0%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 82¢
☀️
20°C or higher
$5 vol
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🌡️
13°C
$0 vol
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🌡️
14°C
$0 vol
15.5%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 85¢
🌤️
18°C
$5 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
❄️
10°C or below
$5 vol
2.0%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🌡️
19°C
$5 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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