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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?

Vol total$380
Vol 24h$380
Liquidity$3K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
26°C or higher
$250 vol
16.0%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢
🌤️
17°C
$130 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
❄️
16°C or below
$0 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🌤️
18°C
$0 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🌡️
19°C
$0 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🌡️
20°C
$0 vol
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
🌡️
21°C
$0 vol
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
🌡️
22°C
$0 vol
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
🌡️
23°C
$0 vol
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
🌡️
25°C
$0 vol
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
🌡️
24°C
$0 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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