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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 22?

Vol total$413
Vol 24h$413
Liquidity$1K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
28°C or higher
$101 vol
34.5%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 66¢
🌡️
25°C
$97 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🌡️
18°C or below
$81 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🌡️
19°C
$48 vol
39.0%
chance
Yes 39¢ · No 61¢
🌡️
23°C
$35 vol
44.5%
chance
Yes 45¢ · No 56¢
🌡️
26°C
$30 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
20°C
$0 vol
42.0%
chance
Yes 42¢ · No 58¢
🌡️
21°C
$0 vol
42.0%
chance
Yes 42¢ · No 58¢
🌡️
22°C
$0 vol
44.5%
chance
Yes 45¢ · No 56¢
🌡️
24°C
$0 vol
41.0%
chance
Yes 41¢ · No 59¢
🌡️
27°C
$20 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.