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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Houston on August 31?

Vol total$331
Vol 24h$331
Liquidity$4K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
86-87°F
$145 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
☀️
88°F or higher
$145 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
84-85°F
$20 vol
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
❄️
69°F or below
$15 vol
27.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 73¢
🌡️
70-71°F
$6 vol
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🌤️
72-73°F
$0 vol
24.5%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 76¢
☀️
74-75°F
$0 vol
38.5%
chance
Yes 39¢ · No 62¢
🌤️
76-77°F
$0 vol
29.0%
chance
Yes 29¢ · No 71¢
🌡️
78-79°F
$0 vol
27.0%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 73¢
🌡️
80-81°F
$0 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🌡️
82-83°F
$0 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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