All events
Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 27?

Vol total$501
Vol 24h$501
Liquidity$6K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
58-59°F
$65 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🌤️
66-67°F
$35 vol
39.0%
chance
Yes 39¢ · No 61¢
🌤️
72-73°F
$15 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🌤️
60-61°F
$0 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🌤️
62-63°F
$0 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🌤️
64-65°F
$0 vol
35.0%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 65¢
🌤️
68-69°F
$0 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🌡️
70-71°F
$0 vol
23.0%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 77¢
☀️
74°F or higher
$167 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
56-57°F
$162 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
❄️
55°F or below
$57 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.