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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 24?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$3K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
52-53°F
$885 vol
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🎯
66°F or higher
$85 vol
24.5%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 76¢
🎯
48-49°F
$55 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🎯
50-51°F
$55 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🎯
47°F or below
$12 vol
29.0%
chance
Yes 29¢ · No 71¢
🎯
58-59°F
$5 vol
33.5%
chance
Yes 34¢ · No 67¢
🎯
54-55°F
$0 vol
20.0%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 80¢
🎯
56-57°F
$0 vol
33.0%
chance
Yes 33¢ · No 67¢
🎯
60-61°F
$0 vol
11.0%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
🎯
62-63°F
$0 vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🎯
64-65°F
$90 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.