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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 23?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$14K
Resolves0d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
58-59°F
$27 vol
32.0%
chance
Yes 32¢ · No 68¢
🎯
56-57°F
$5 vol
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🎯
60-61°F
$220 vol
98.0%
chance
Yes 98¢ · No 2¢
🎯
66-67°F
$185 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
70°F or higher
$155 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
52-53°F
$148 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
68-69°F
$145 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
62-63°F
$125 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
51°F or below
$117 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
64-65°F
$105 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
54-55°F
$5 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.