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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?

Vol total$477
Vol 24h$477
Liquidity$3K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
29°C or higher
$130 vol
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🌡️
22°C
$37 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🌡️
23°C
$0 vol
35.0%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 65¢
🌡️
24°C
$0 vol
36.5%
chance
Yes 37¢ · No 64¢
🌡️
25°C
$0 vol
40.5%
chance
Yes 41¢ · No 60¢
🌡️
26°C
$0 vol
47.5%
chance
Yes 48¢ · No 53¢
🌡️
27°C
$0 vol
42.5%
chance
Yes 43¢ · No 57¢
🌡️
28°C
$0 vol
36.0%
chance
Yes 36¢ · No 64¢
❄️
19°C or below
$149 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
21°C
$100 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
20°C
$60 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.