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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 25?

Vol total$454
Vol 24h$454
Liquidity$2K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
20°C or below
$145 vol
28.0%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🌡️
30°C or higher
$70 vol
29.0%
chance
Yes 29¢ · No 71¢
🌡️
28°C
$9 vol
10.0%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢
🌡️
23°C
$0 vol
27.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 73¢
🌡️
24°C
$0 vol
27.0%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 73¢
🌡️
25°C
$0 vol
29.0%
chance
Yes 29¢ · No 71¢
🌡️
26°C
$0 vol
36.5%
chance
Yes 37¢ · No 64¢
🌡️
27°C
$0 vol
30.0%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 70¢
🌡️
21°C
$145 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
22°C
$80 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
29°C
$5 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.