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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 30?

Vol total$35
Vol 24h$246
Liquidity$8K
Resolves3d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
21°C
$20 vol
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢
❄️
13°C or below
$5 vol
28.0%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
☀️
23°C or higher
$5 vol
24.5%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 76¢
🌡️
14°C
$0 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🌤️
15°C
$0 vol
24.5%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 76¢
🌤️
16°C
$0 vol
24.5%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 76¢
🌤️
17°C
$0 vol
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🌤️
18°C
$0 vol
30.0%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 70¢
🌡️
19°C
$0 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🌡️
20°C
$0 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🌡️
22°C
$5 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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