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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 28?

Vol total$987
Vol 24h$835
Liquidity$16K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
23°C
$134 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🌤️
16°C
$55 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
❄️
15°C or below
$37 vol
43.5%
chance
Yes 44¢ · No 56¢
🌤️
17°C
$15 vol
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🌡️
21°C
$4 vol
39.5%
chance
Yes 40¢ · No 61¢
🌡️
22°C
$4 vol
46.0%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 54¢
🌤️
18°C
$0 vol
45.5%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 55¢
🌡️
19°C
$0 vol
40.5%
chance
Yes 41¢ · No 60¢
🌡️
20°C
$0 vol
46.0%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 54¢
🌡️
24°C
$596 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔥
25°C or higher
$142 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.