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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 1?

Vol total$350
Vol 24h$350
Liquidity$4K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
19°C
$140 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
❄️
10°C or below
$0 vol
46.0%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 54¢
🌡️
11°C
$0 vol
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🌡️
12°C
$0 vol
24.5%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 76¢
🌡️
13°C
$0 vol
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
🌡️
14°C
$0 vol
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
🌤️
15°C
$0 vol
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🌤️
16°C
$0 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🌤️
17°C
$0 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
☀️
20°C or higher
$210 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌤️
18°C
$0 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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