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Climate · 11 markets

Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 29?

Vol total$819
Vol 24h$789
Liquidity$11K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
14°C
$273 vol
71.5%
chance
Yes 72¢ · No 28¢
🌡️
11°C
$101 vol
34.5%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 66¢
🌡️
12°C
$87 vol
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
🌡️
10°C
$85 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🌡️
13°C
$60 vol
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🌤️
15°C
$83 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌤️
16°C
$35 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
☀️
19°C or higher
$33 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌤️
18°C
$25 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌤️
17°C
$20 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
❄️
9°C or below
$17 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.