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Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?

Vol total$6K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$1K
Resolves129d

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Prediction

Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.0950
Shares (est)52.63
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$47.63
If Yes wins pays$52.63
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Price history+3.50% · 1W
4%6%8%10%13%Aug 18Aug 19Aug 20Aug 22Aug 23Aug 25

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leopold Aschenbrenner between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.