Politics · 6 markets

James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?

Vol total$46K

Vol 24h$605

Liquidity$45K

Resolves0d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Fishback <10%

$36K vol·+11%·7d

31.0%

chance

Yes 31¢ · No 69¢

🎯

Fishback 10–15%

$5K vol·-16%·7d

38.5%

chance

Yes 39¢ · No 62¢

🎯

Fishback 15–20%

$2K vol·-5%·7d

12.0%

chance

Yes 12¢ · No 88¢

🎯

Fishback 20–25%

$1K vol·-3%·7d

4.1%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎯

Fishback 30%+

$904 vol·-1%·7d

0.8%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

🎯

Fishback 25–30%

$821 vol·-3%·7d

1.5%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.