All events
Tech & AI · 9 markets

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

Vol total$6K
Vol 24h$266
Liquidity$11K
Resolves494d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
$40B–$50B
$2K vol·+15%·7d
35.4%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 65¢
🎯
$50B–$60B
$1K vol·-0%·7d
5.8%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
$100B+
$637 vol·+4%·7d
21.0%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 79¢
🎯
<$30B
$603 vol·-7%·7d
32.3%
chance
Yes 32¢ · No 68¢
🎯
$60B–$70B
$496 vol
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🎯
$70B–$80B
$489 vol·+5%·7d
10.4%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢
🎯
$30B–$40B
$463 vol·+0%·7d
4.4%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
$80B–$90B
$448 vol·-4%·7d
25.7%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🎯
$90B–$100B
$306 vol
4.4%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.