Politics · 7 markets

How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

Vol total$186K

Vol 24h$317

Liquidity$114K

Resolves32d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

340–354

$49K vol·+4%·7d

21.5%

chance

Yes 22¢ · No 79¢

🎯

355+

$39K vol·+1%·7d

12.5%

chance

Yes 13¢ · No 88¢

🎯

325–339

$28K vol·-4%·7d

34.5%

chance

Yes 35¢ · No 66¢

🎯

<280

$27K vol·+0%·7d

2.9%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

280–294

$17K vol·+2%·7d

4.3%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🎯

310–324

$15K vol·-3%·7d

19.1%

chance

Yes 19¢ · No 81¢

🎯

295–309

$12K vol·+1%·7d

6.7%

chance

Yes 7¢ · No 93¢

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.