All events
Climate · 4 markets

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$584
Liquidity$3K
Resolves132d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
0
$1K vol·+14%·7d
21.0%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 79¢
🎯
4-6
$356 vol·-28%·7d
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🎯
1-3
$310 vol·+18%·7d
41.5%
chance
Yes 42¢ · No 59¢
🎯
7+
$170 vol·+5%·7d
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.