All events
Tech & AI · 7 markets

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

Vol total$52K
Vol 24h$556
Liquidity$15K
Resolves133d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
12-15
$12K vol·-4%·7d
22.9%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 77¢
🎯
20-23
$11K vol·-3%·7d
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🎯
16-19
$9K vol·+12%·7d
68.5%
chance
Yes 69¢ · No 32¢
🎯
24-27
$9K vol·-3%·7d
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
<12
$4K vol·-2%·7d
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
32+
$4K vol·-2%·7d
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
28-31
$4K vol·-1%·7d
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.