All events
Climate · 7 markets

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?

Vol total$4K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$10K
Resolves5d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
0
$894 vol
55.5%
chance
Yes 56¢ · No 45¢
🎯
2
$726 vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🎯
1
$190 vol
28.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🎯
3
$133 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
5
$121 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
>5
$1K vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎯
4
$115 vol
1.7%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.