All events
Climate · 9 markets

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 31 - September 6?

Vol total$308
Vol 24h$308
Liquidity$23K
Resolves9d

Outcomes · most likely first

🟢
≤6
$294 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🎯
7
$14 vol
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🎯
8
$0 vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🎯
9
$0 vol
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🟡
10
$0 vol
11.0%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
🟠
11
$0 vol
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🔴
12
$0 vol
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🔴
13
$0 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
more than 13
$0 vol
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.