All events
Climate · 9 markets

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 24 - August 30?

Vol total$963
Vol 24h$923
Liquidity$6K
Resolves9d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
≤6
$742 vol
22.0%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 78¢
🎯
more than 13
$150 vol
16.0%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢
🎯
12
$40 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
13
$14 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
10
$9 vol
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
🎯
7
$8 vol
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
🎯
8
$0 vol
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
🎯
9
$0 vol
15.0%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🎯
11
$0 vol
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.