Politics · 22 markets
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner
Vol total$563
Vol 24h$563
Liquidity$153K
Resolves303d
Outcomes · most likely first
🎯
Sagal Abdi-Wali
$78 vol
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🎯
Zack Polanski
$66 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🎯
Hamza Chowdhury
$40 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Pat Callaghan
$20 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Adam Harrison
$20 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Richard Olszewski
$20 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Sarah Hayward
$20 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Tricia Leman
$20 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Georgia Gould
$20 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Lorna Jane Russell
$20 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
David Stansell
$20 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Jim Monahan
$20 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
James White
$20 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Siân Berry
$20 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Charlie Clinton
$20 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Luisa Porritt
$20 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Keith Moffitt
$20 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Mehreen Malik
$20 vol
3.6%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Gio Spinella
$20 vol
3.9%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Oliver Cooper
$20 vol
3.6%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
David Roberts
$20 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Sarah Pochin
$20 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
Resolution rules
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).