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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 3?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$31K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
31°C
$474 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
26°C
$303 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🌡️
30°C
$277 vol
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
🌡️
28°C
$250 vol
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🌡️
29°C
$178 vol
29.5%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 71¢
🌡️
27°C
$36 vol
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🔥
33°C or higher
$268 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
24°C
$193 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
32°C
$185 vol
2.0%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
❄️
23°C or below
$161 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
25°C
$145 vol
1.8%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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