All events
Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 27?

Vol total$3K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$58K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
24°C
$540 vol
40.5%
chance
Yes 41¢ · No 60¢
🌡️
23°C
$401 vol
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢
🌡️
25°C
$311 vol
39.5%
chance
Yes 40¢ · No 61¢
🌡️
26°C
$125 vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🌡️
27°C
$85 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🌡️
22°C
$16 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🌡️
28°C
$367 vol
1.2%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
20°C
$273 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
29°C or higher
$234 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
❄️
19°C or below
$134 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
21°C
$110 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.