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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 26?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$59K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
24°C
$562 vol
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🌡️
20°C
$228 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
23°C
$145 vol
41.5%
chance
Yes 42¢ · No 59¢
🌡️
22°C
$131 vol
35.5%
chance
Yes 36¢ · No 65¢
🌡️
21°C
$110 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🌡️
25°C
$80 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
❄️
17°C or below
$200 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
26°C
$123 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
🌤️
18°C
$75 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
19°C
$5 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🔥
27°C or higher
$5 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.