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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 31?

Vol total$5K
Vol 24h$5K
Liquidity$49K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
29°C
$1K vol
28.0%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🌡️
31°C
$1K vol
19.5%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 81¢
🌡️
28°C
$742 vol
11.0%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
🌡️
30°C
$638 vol
32.0%
chance
Yes 32¢ · No 68¢
🌡️
32°C
$320 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🌡️
27°C
$189 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🌡️
35°C or higher
$249 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
26°C
$177 vol
1.4%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
25°C or below
$112 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
33°C
$102 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
34°C
$75 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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