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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 2?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$38K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
33°C
$352 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
30°C
$120 vol
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
🌡️
27°C
$110 vol
7.8%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🌡️
28°C
$87 vol
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢
🌡️
31°C
$73 vol
20.0%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 80¢
🌡️
32°C
$30 vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🌡️
29°C
$7 vol
21.5%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 79¢
🌡️
25°C
$331 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
26°C
$245 vol
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
❄️
24°C or below
$230 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔥
34°C or higher
$110 vol
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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