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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$46K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
35°C
$346 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🌡️
29°C
$316 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
34°C
$45 vol
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🌡️
31°C
$17 vol
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
🌡️
32°C
$16 vol
29.0%
chance
Yes 29¢ · No 71¢
🌡️
33°C
$5 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🌡️
30°C
$0 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🌡️
27°C
$208 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
28°C
$195 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
❄️
26°C or below
$180 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔥
36°C or higher
$27 vol
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.