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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 2?

Vol total$16K
Vol 24h$16K
Liquidity$47K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
29°C
$5K vol
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
🌡️
31°C
$3K vol
30.5%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 70¢
🌡️
30°C
$2K vol
44.0%
chance
Yes 44¢ · No 56¢
🌡️
28°C
$1K vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🌡️
32°C
$690 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🌡️
25°C or below
$1K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
26°C
$1K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
33°C
$462 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
27°C
$431 vol
1.8%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🌡️
35°C or higher
$350 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
34°C
$304 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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