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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$18K
Resolves3d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
32°C
$934 vol
55.5%
chance
Yes 56¢ · No 45¢
🌡️
31°C
$173 vol
22.0%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 78¢
🌡️
30°C
$115 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🌡️
33°C
$99 vol
20.0%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 80¢
🌡️
34°C
$80 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
28°C
$172 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
29°C
$109 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
❄️
26°C or below
$35 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
27°C
$35 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔥
36°C or higher
$35 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
35°C
$0 vol
2.0%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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