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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?

Vol total$794
Vol 24h$794
Liquidity$25K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌤️
62-63°F
$405 vol
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🌤️
68-69°F
$225 vol
15.5%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 85¢
🌤️
66-67°F
$126 vol
37.0%
chance
Yes 37¢ · No 63¢
🌤️
64-65°F
$38 vol
29.5%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 71¢
🌡️
58-59°F
$0 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🌤️
60-61°F
$0 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🌡️
70-71°F
$0 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
57°F or below
$0 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌤️
72-73°F
$0 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
☀️
74-75°F
$0 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
76°F or higher
$0 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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