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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?

Vol total$884
Vol 24h$905
Liquidity$18K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
76-77°F
$330 vol
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢
🎯
70-71°F
$91 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🎯
78-79°F
$90 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🎯
80-81°F
$87 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🎯
74-75°F
$76 vol
15.5%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 85¢
🎯
68-69°F
$64 vol
15.0%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🎯
72-73°F
$46 vol
36.0%
chance
Yes 36¢ · No 64¢
🎯
66-67°F
$24 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🎯
65°F or below
$31 vol
2.0%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
84°F or higher
$25 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
82-83°F
$20 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.