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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Milan on September 3?

Vol total$3K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$40K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
30°C
$566 vol
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🌡️
31°C
$486 vol
41.0%
chance
Yes 41¢ · No 59¢
🌡️
32°C
$375 vol
40.5%
chance
Yes 41¢ · No 60¢
🌡️
33°C
$146 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🔥
34°C or higher
$128 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🌡️
29°C
$95 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
25°C
$378 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
26°C
$249 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
❄️
24°C or below
$237 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
28°C
$146 vol
2.0%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🌡️
27°C
$84 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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