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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Madrid on September 3?

Vol total$5K
Vol 24h$5K
Liquidity$52K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
38°C
$1000 vol
51.0%
chance
Yes 51¢ · No 49¢
🌡️
39°C
$819 vol
33.5%
chance
Yes 34¢ · No 67¢
🌡️
37°C
$592 vol
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🔥
40°C
$279 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
36°C
$575 vol
1.3%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
35°C
$573 vol
1.3%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
42°C
$306 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🔥
41°C
$235 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
34°C
$217 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
43°C or higher
$192 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
33°C or below
$192 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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