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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Madrid on August 28?

Vol total$3K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$36K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
26°C
$770 vol
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
🌡️
28°C
$693 vol
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🌡️
27°C
$395 vol
44.0%
chance
Yes 44¢ · No 56¢
🌡️
29°C
$263 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
25°C
$166 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🔥
32°C or higher
$342 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
24°C
$232 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
23°C
$187 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
31°C
$158 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
❄️
22°C or below
$100 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
30°C
$79 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.