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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Madrid on August 27?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$13K
Resolves3d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
25°C
$359 vol
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🌡️
23°C
$237 vol
18.0%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 82¢
🌡️
26°C
$214 vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🌡️
24°C
$197 vol
29.5%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 71¢
🌡️
22°C
$50 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
27°C
$0 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
❄️
21°C or below
$87 vol
2.0%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🔥
31°C or higher
$24 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
28°C
$0 vol
2.0%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🌡️
29°C
$0 vol
2.0%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🌤️
30°C
$0 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.