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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Madrid on August 24?

Vol total$5K
Vol 24h$5K
Liquidity$30K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
28°C
$2K vol
33.5%
chance
Yes 34¢ · No 67¢
🌡️
27°C
$523 vol
30.5%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 70¢
🌡️
29°C
$422 vol
15.5%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 85¢
🌤️
30°C
$320 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
26°C
$318 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🌡️
24°C
$255 vol
1.3%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
25°C
$248 vol
1.3%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
33°C or higher
$185 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎯
23°C or below
$131 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
☀️
31°C
$10 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
32°C
$10 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.