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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 22?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$37K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
27°C
$496 vol
54.5%
chance
Yes 55¢ · No 46¢
🌡️
26°C
$379 vol
15.0%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🌡️
28°C
$155 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🌡️
25°C
$110 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
29°C
$36 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🎯
33°C or higher
$358 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
☀️
31°C
$89 vol
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌤️
30°C
$74 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
32°C
$55 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
23°C or below
$18 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
24°C
$5 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.