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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?

Vol total$4K
Vol 24h$4K
Liquidity$53K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
26°C
$2K vol
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🌡️
27°C
$804 vol
55.5%
chance
Yes 56¢ · No 45¢
🌡️
28°C
$271 vol
21.5%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 79¢
🌡️
25°C
$145 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
29°C
$133 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
❄️
22°C or below
$271 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
23°C
$263 vol
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌤️
30°C
$194 vol
1.2%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
24°C
$136 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🔥
32°C or higher
$94 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
☀️
31°C
$69 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.