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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Chicago on August 24?

Vol total$5K
Vol 24h$5K
Liquidity$41K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
76-77°F
$2K vol
50.5%
chance
Yes 51¢ · No 50¢
🎯
74-75°F
$712 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
80-81°F
$457 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
78-79°F
$418 vol
39.5%
chance
Yes 40¢ · No 61¢
🎯
72-73°F
$530 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
88°F or higher
$354 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
70-71°F
$337 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
86-87°F
$334 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
82-83°F
$211 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
🎯
69°F or below
$180 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
84-85°F
$145 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.