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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 26?

Vol total$4K
Vol 24h$4K
Liquidity$69K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🔥
37°C or higher
$1K vol
15.0%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🌡️
32°C
$795 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🌡️
35°C
$500 vol
28.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🌡️
33°C
$188 vol
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🌡️
36°C
$131 vol
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🌡️
34°C
$57 vol
24.5%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 76¢
☀️
31°C
$416 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
🌤️
30°C
$383 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
28°C
$274 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
❄️
27°C or below
$264 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
29°C
$190 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.