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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?

Vol total$3K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$47K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
36°C
$481 vol
25.5%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 75¢
🌡️
37°C
$415 vol
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
🌡️
32°C
$293 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🌡️
35°C
$134 vol
27.0%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 73¢
🌡️
34°C
$88 vol
21.5%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 79¢
🌡️
33°C
$43 vol
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🎯
38°C or higher
$1K vol
2.0%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
28°C or below
$145 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
29°C
$145 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌤️
30°C
$145 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
☀️
31°C
$30 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.