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Climate · 11 markets

Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 2?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$54K
Resolves2d

Outcomes · most likely first

🌡️
21°C
$184 vol
12.5%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 88¢
🌡️
20°C
$76 vol
35.0%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 65¢
🌡️
19°C
$75 vol
38.0%
chance
Yes 38¢ · No 62¢
🌤️
17°C
$66 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🌡️
22°C
$56 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢
🌤️
18°C
$53 vol
13.0%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 87¢
🔥
25°C or higher
$406 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌡️
24°C
$211 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
❄️
15°C or below
$107 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌡️
23°C
$105 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌤️
16°C
$44 vol
2.0%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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